This new paper from an international team of IMBeR researchers is an outcome from a workshop at IMBIZO6 on “lighting the grey zone” that explored how human dimensions can be included in decadal-scale prediction systems. The paper reviews information needs for decision-making at decadal scales and explores the challenges of integrating human elements into decadal prediction systems. Key findings include the important role of co-production of tools and scenarios, to build trust and ensure uptake with end users of decadal prediction systems. The paper also highlights opportunities for combining narratives – including Indigenous Knowledge and narratives – and quantitative predictions to better incorporate the human dimension in future efforts to light the grey zone of decadal-scale prediction.
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